TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14f0…c7a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.08
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$29
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$263.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$360.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.57
Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$536.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+97%+$470.64
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.92
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.67
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+216.7%+$207.76
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.42
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+442.7%+$421.01
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.73
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$237.1
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.94
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+604.6%+$1,302.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.75
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.63
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Chloe Paquetbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.87
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Oceane Babel vs Jessica Pieribacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.17
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$169.29
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.12
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$426.73
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanovbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$483.99
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.43
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$260.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Valorant: TEC Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.12
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$526.98
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$532.17
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.12
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.88
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$40.74
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+230.1%+$220.44
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$302.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+98.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.98
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.25
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.13
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$389.74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$562.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+162.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$203.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$507.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.