Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf343b914a6b532679cf33652c242389b2e33c0f8005c014440cb7fdb413b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Ultra Prime, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce4b…1928backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 18,717$10,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,578.86 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 18,061$9,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,211.16 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 16,123$7,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.85 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 10,571$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,163.35 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ultra Prime | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…4e24backed Ultra Prime | 30c | 8,748$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ultra Prime | 47c | 6,381$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.23 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Ultra Prime | 51c | 4,974$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.43 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…b283backed Ultra Prime | 30c | 4,944$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.57 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 4,940$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.78 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 4,929$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.19 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 4,873$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.41 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 4,643$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.4 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 4,452$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.42 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 4,078$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.2 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 3,956$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.18 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Ultra Prime | 51c | 3,940$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.56 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 3,828$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.91 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 3,778$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.5 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 3,432$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.76 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…895dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 3,060$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.57 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 3,028$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.07 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 3,012$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 2,989$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.16 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 2,954$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.14 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 2,854$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.3 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 2,723$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.63 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 2,457$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.23 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 2,425$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.03 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Ultra Prime | 47c | 2,416$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.48 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Ultra Prime | 24c | 2,158$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.17 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 2,121$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 68c | 2,022$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.06 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 1,997$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.56 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,947$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.65 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 1,868$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.96 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 1,822$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.28 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ultra Prime | 30c | 1,563$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.15 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…1708backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 1,560$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.36 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Ultra Prime | 36c | 1,541$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.69 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 328 | 44.2%145 W · 183 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…edafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 1,442$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.35 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c2abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 1,287$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.69 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +13.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ultra Prime | 46c | 1,239$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.01 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6f38backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 1,200$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ultra Prime | 52c | 1,178$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.54 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,175$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Ultra Prime | 46c | 1,167$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.37 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 1,138$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3e5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 1,107$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 1,086$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.81 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.07 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ultra Prime | 46c | 999.97$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5588backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 995.36$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.36 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 985.86$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 976.58$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 970.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.55 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 970.71$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.42 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 958$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.32 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 921.5$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.75 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…2885backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 914.87$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 894.18$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.87 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 851.82$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.39 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ultra Prime | 16c | 849.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 848.2$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.62 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 807.21$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 801.72$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.87 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 764.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | -18.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 753.58$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 750.95$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 738.04$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.71 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Ultra Prime | 53c | 729.79$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 728.5$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 693.51$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ultra Prime | 40c | 687$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5032backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 665.72$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Ultra Prime | 39c | 650.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…bc03backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 623.34$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 591.42$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 584.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 581.32$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 580.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Ultra Prime | 39c | 540.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 65c | 500.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Ultra Prime | 6c | 498.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 488.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 486.21$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ultra Prime | 45c | 458$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Ultra Prime | 37c | 453.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 452.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 443.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.