Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93ab01b88ce50dc8ba9bd2fe9ab04acfdc37c5a0e306ae51aee9f0836868ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Ultra Prime, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Ultra Prime | 50c | 51,509$25,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,520.53 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 40,578$19,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,478.21 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 27,750$13,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.97 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 22,618$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,856.71 | 384 | 62%238 W · 146 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…f43ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 19,995$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,997.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 19,782$9,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,693.02 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 16,615$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.43 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 16,201$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.63 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 13,619$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.9 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 12,942$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,341.42 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 12,848$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.42 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…453cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 11,109$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.46 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 9,598$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.92 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 7,319$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.3 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ultra Prime | 47c | 6,994$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.09 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 6,300$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 6,280$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.04 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…a527backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 6,261$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 6,071$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.07 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 5,772$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1810backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 5,153$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…964abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 5,144$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.26 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6acf…fb01backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 5,074$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.54 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…07a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 5,069$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…21a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 5,002$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…7156backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 4,961$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 4,502$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.93 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Ultra Prime | 24c | 4,243$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.26 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Ultra Prime | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Ultra Prime | 42c | 3,874$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.92 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 3,817$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.75 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 3,815$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.21 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 3,598$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.99 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 3,490$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.73 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 3,420$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 3,385$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.62 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…1ff7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 3,346$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked Ultra Prime | 24c | 3,291$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.36 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 2,936$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.98 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…dfc9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 2,662$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 2,459$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.81 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…edecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 2,309$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 2,264$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.38 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.54 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 2,208$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.45 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 2,129$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.3 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ultra Prime | 2c | 2,125$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…41b0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 2,020$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Ultra Prime | 46c | 2,008$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.88 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 1,989$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.41 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,988$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.03 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Ultra Prime | 14c | 1,986$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 158 | 21.5%34 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,985$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.38 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…b1fabacked Ultra Prime | 30c | 1,977$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ultra Prime | 26c | 1,963$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.95 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 1,938$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.03 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,917$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.52 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ultra Prime | 44c | 1,807$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.18 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…7c36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 1,630$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 1,606$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.03 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 1,373$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.77 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 1,337$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.68 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed Ultra Prime | 14c | 1,317$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 1,249$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 1,180$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.77 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,119$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.6 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…e9f6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 1,048$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…15b0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Ultra Prime | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…cb66backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 984.74$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.37 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Ultra Prime | 49c | 975.5$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.99 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Ultra Prime | 22c | 959.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 868.93$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 835.74$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…57c7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 799.6$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.26 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 799$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.17 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 790.1$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 783.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Ultra Prime | 47c | 700$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 698.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 68c | 695.93$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ultra Prime | 40c | 691.24$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanathis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.