Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa8ae77e32f73def69877c80d71bfa93cfd1f4a489e9cd9797d3d672a128076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Ultra Prime, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 34,179$17,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,517.09 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 24,776$11,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,892.4 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 21,861$11,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584.17 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Ultra Prime | 51c | 19,894$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,143.64 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 16,977$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,106.36 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 16,675$8,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,129.1 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 11,918$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.76 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 10,349$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.91 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.06 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 9,070$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.22 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 8,800$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.58 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 8,501$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.32 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 7,912$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.09 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 7,824$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.72 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 6,726$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.31 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 6,715$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.93 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 5,962$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.11 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 5,945$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.62 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 5,286$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.67 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed Ultra Prime | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 4,898$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.22 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 4,418$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.43 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 4,066$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.53 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 3,943$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.68 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 3,739$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.81 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 3,614$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.05 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 3,434$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.07 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 3,430$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.04 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Ultra Prime | 53c | 3,421$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.34 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 3,172$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.25 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 3,135$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.04 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 3,106$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.16 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 3,041$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.7 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c2abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 64c | 2,986$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.19 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +13.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 2,979$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.38 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 2,916$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.72 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 2,900$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Ultra Prime | 46c | 2,703$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.07 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Ultra Prime | 54c | 2,684$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.34 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…b283backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 2,538$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Ultra Prime | 2c | 2,471$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 2,450$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.52 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Ultra Prime | 15c | 2,442$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ultra Prime | 34c | 2,373$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.88 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Ultra Prime | 51c | 2,136$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.61 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…edafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 71c | 2,079$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.64 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Ultra Prime | 53c | 2,018$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.97 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 2,011$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.22 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 1,989$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.13 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 1,971$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.84 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 1,904$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.42 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,734$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.68 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,710$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,693$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.38 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 1,643$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,559$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.71 | 328 | 44.2%145 W · 183 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 1,456$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.92 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Ultra Prime | 30c | 1,430$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.19 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 1,429$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.13 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 1,392$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.69 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,375$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.33 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 1,361$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.58 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Ultra Prime | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.63 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,166$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.7 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Ultra Prime | 44c | 1,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.17 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,087$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.96 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Ultra Prime | 56c | 1,086$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.48 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.56 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Ultra Prime | 5c | 1,009$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Ultra Prime | 29c | 991.86$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Ultra Prime | 49c | 990.6$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 982.81$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…980bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 971.75$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 969.52$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…d5cebacked Ultra Prime | 54c | 946.15$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 939.55$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.77 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 931.83$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Ultra Prime | 5c | 924.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3e5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 71c | 923.65$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…511dbacked Ultra Prime | 5c | 862.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 850.52$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 849.16$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 836.33$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 773.74$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…829abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 738.32$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 704.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.47 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Ultra Prime | 6c | 694.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 680.74$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Ultra Prime | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 678.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ultra Prime | 48c | 647.91$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…4e24backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 627.95$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Ultra Prime | 6c | 618.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 611.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 604.95$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.72 | 156 | 32.7%51 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 604.12$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Ultra Prime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.