TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over45c80,407$36,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,258.575349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c38,831$21,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,357.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over46c17,248$7,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,313.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c14,365$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,816.6732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4804351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under55c6,022$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.134146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…d59cbacked Under56c4,476$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under55c4,407$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.7714752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c4,407$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.779650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over46c2,593$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,389$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.311457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under55c2,257$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.485754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under54c1,992$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c1,934$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,778$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.4493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under55c1,753$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.845162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,493$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under55c1,460$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.731560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c1,423$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.547552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c1,327$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.748453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.9941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Under18c1,081$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.461421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over45c982.44$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c968.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under55c964.4$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.514365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c946.51$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under55c884.55$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under55c884.53$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.497548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c884.53$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4911346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over54c735.96$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.85632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under6c717.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.08520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over63c711.77$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.931540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under55c707.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.22673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over45c680.62$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under67c658.34$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.098757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under54c575.32$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.194738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c540.38$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2113636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9711429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under6c510.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+233.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under55c508.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.526063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c486.1$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over45c477.12$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Under16c470.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under55c447.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3911360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under55c442.26$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.245450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under55c436.84$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c436.36$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.49054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over34c419.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under55c410.93$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.011952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under55c410.93$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.012050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+237.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c392.41$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under55c388.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.763663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c380.76$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2211349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under55c362.01$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Under54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over46c359.69$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.244339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under55c354.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.797646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over54c304.21$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under55c302.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under55c266.58$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.623268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.134973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over48c247.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over64c230.84$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.057262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under55c229.27$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over44c212$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2810233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c209.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3720452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.953026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1069045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c195.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over45c193.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.374553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under54c193.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under55c181.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.317354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under56c174.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.771376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc779…c8a4backed Over59c162.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under55c149.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.394548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c142.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c134.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2246047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.