Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9444b6bde3e24c28311bf7b480f9faa3a3237cbd5d9e248411575859a7331b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,360$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 44c | 1,881$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.58 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,044$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 798.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…e112backed Yes | 49c | 631.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…fa1cbacked Yes | 49c | 625.26$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cd28backed Yes | 49c | 511.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 52c | 382.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 358.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 47c | 341.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 306.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c185backed No | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…4c06backed No | 51c | 265$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8675backed No | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…78ccbacked No | 51c | 247$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 245.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…c86fbacked No | 51c | 243$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…0c50backed No | 51c | 229$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…c2a1backed No | 51c | 226$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c0d1backed No | 51c | 223$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…e948backed No | 51c | 218$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…2bc2backed No | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 205.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…c577backed No | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 47c | 200.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 49c | 200.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d04bbacked No | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3144…25e9backed No | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 166.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 142.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…d05cbacked Yes | 49c | 141.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…70d9backed Yes | 49c | 138.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 133.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…8ba4backed Yes | 49c | 130.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…bbc5backed Yes | 49c | 130.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…2329backed Yes | 49c | 127.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…a0e9backed Yes | 49c | 123.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…3a1cbacked Yes | 49c | 120.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 116.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…1f4cbacked Yes | 49c | 114.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 57c | 109.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 108.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…996fbacked Yes | 49c | 108.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 106.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 99.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked No | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 52c | 93.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 57c | 82.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 57c | 81.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 51c | 80.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 57c | 78.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 65.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 63.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 41c | 59.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 47c | 59.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 30.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 60c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 48c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 64c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.