Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd471bdc993d34841adf0ac08e6a91741bace5bea6e7dbd30b01a2c89d15bc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Oh My God, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 6,021$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.45 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Oh My God | 39c | 4,589$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,534$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.83 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Oh My God | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,340$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Oh My God | 58c | 1,237$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.52 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Oh My God | 37c | 865.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God | 37c | 776.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 727.16$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.32 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oh My God | 38c | 673.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oh My God | 35c | 299.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Oh My God | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 228.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Oh My God | 37c | 182.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 152.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 152.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 123.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Oh My God | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…61e4backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Oh My God | 50c | 95.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Oh My God | 38c | 66.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 51.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 51.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 41.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…6f7abacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…c29fbacked Oh My God | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.