Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x960fe1821922658f1dd95525b753ae1c35d81436d20a740c4cc00877f6a64870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17d5…7851backed Yes | 3c | 14,963$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,314$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 5,928$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.44 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…e5c8backed Yes | 0c | 4,423$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed No | 61c | 4,399$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Yes | 1c | 4,394$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 69c | 3,909$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.46 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,656$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,457$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 95 | 11.6%11 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…18c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,269$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…88c7backed Yes | 1c | 2,224$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,990$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.16 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,980$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,944$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…415cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,913$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 1c | 1,416$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,333$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.34 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…4373backed Yes | 1c | 1,167$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…b217backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 37c | 890.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…f7c6backed Yes | 26c | 841.59$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 828.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 14c | 807.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 67c | 754.34$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 28c | 725.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 8c | 695.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…33d1backed Yes | 3c | 667.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 12c | 650.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…5deabacked Yes | 41c | 649.76$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes | 3c | 638.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Yes | 12c | 609.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 14c | 592.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 23c | 578.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 44c | 554.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 16c | 539.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed No | 77c | 527.98$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 511.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 34c | 510.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8749…5d4bbacked Yes | 57c | 488.36$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 41c | 473.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 461.38$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 66c | 452.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 58c | 448.56$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 31c | 446.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 35c | 443.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…bb90backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…91e1backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 29c | 391.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 38c | 390.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 39c | 384.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 70c | 372.78$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 371.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe836…44aebacked No | 68c | 370.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 32c | 369.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 72c | 368$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 13c | 344.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 332.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 52c | 326.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 325.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes | 13c | 307.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…fd6cbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 10c | 297.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…73adbacked Yes | 12c | 296.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 19c | 286.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 11c | 282.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 38c | 277.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 72c | 276.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked Yes | 41c | 261.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Yes | 29c | 260.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 40c | 256$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 75c | 252$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 248.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 22c | 243.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 43c | 239.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed Yes | 25c | 230$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 9c | 228.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 9c | 226.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…40d8backed No | 59c | 222.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…057fbacked Yes | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 21c | 218.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 210.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 31c | 210$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed Yes | 27c | 209.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 39c | 209.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…30c4backed Yes | 40c | 205.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 39c | 203$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 58c | 202.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…8da1backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…9fbabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.