Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c047f3366802cea02f35c55f9d39c2660de6a0f9186d2d17e38477f503470fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 77c | 6,723$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.17 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 75c | 6,233$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.28 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed No | 71c | 3,397$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 1,990$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.4 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 26c | 1,743$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,552$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…329cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,469$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 22c | 1,263$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 46c | 1,145$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.16 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 46c | 890.03$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.65 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 844$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 49c | 808.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.59 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 66c | 725.96$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.85 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 38c | 656.78$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 60c | 652.69$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…2df8backed No | 3c | 604.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 567.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x484e…f9b2backed No | 4c | 561.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 36c | 554.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 39c | 553.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.97 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 64c | 524.03$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 30c | 506.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 497.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 478.35$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…334dbacked Yes | 70c | 470.09$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 456$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 441.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…f7c6backed No | 22c | 433.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe836…44aebacked Yes | 45c | 428.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 30c | 413.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.41 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 4c | 405.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Yes | 36c | 394.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 62c | 393.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 393.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 35c | 390.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 40c | 371.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 353.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 27c | 352.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.06 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a9…1e8ebacked Yes | 70c | 335.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…73adbacked Yes | 61c | 330.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 52c | 329$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…5ea3backed No | 77c | 322.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…ba18backed No | 26c | 305.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 62c | 304.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 599 | 27%162 W · 437 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 41c | 301.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 47c | 299.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 293.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 75c | 283.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…062cbacked Yes | 45c | 274.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…caf0backed No | 67c | 267$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 25c | 266.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 38c | 259.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…463abacked Yes | 40c | 251.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 248.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked Yes | 36c | 248.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 68c | 237$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…c06abacked Yes | 33c | 235.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 60c | 226.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed Yes | 29c | 219.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed No | 12c | 219.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed No | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked No | 19c | 217.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 19c | 217.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 208.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 55c | 204.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 18c | 199.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…2c3ebacked Yes | 36c | 198.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…d0acbacked No | 41c | 195.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 35c | 194.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 6c | 186.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 47c | 185.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…8da1backed Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 63c | 170$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 37c | 164.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 19c | 160.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 39c | 151.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 39c | 151.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…c89bbacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 55c | 140.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 30c | 135.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed Yes | 23c | 134.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Yes | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 78c | 127.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf68…4996backed Yes | 48c | 127.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…b97abacked Yes | 64c | 125.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…7018backed Yes | 66c | 123.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.