Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc291e25965dc73799e58d699882c3d8e2a01c6c8329db217f9a196b70ed98db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 10c | 10,890$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.77 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,535$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 3,407$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,940$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 1,894$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 1c | 1,880$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,285$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 13c | 1,138$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 3c | 899.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 843.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 804.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 10c | 770.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 691.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 679.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 16c | 628.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 2c | 587.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…fcddbacked Yes | 5c | 549.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 19c | 485.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 4c | 471.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 29c | 432.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 423.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 390.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 14c | 375.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 19c | 364.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 359.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 13c | 321.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 16c | 279$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 235.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked No | 76c | 210$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 17c | 204.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 199.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 18c | 198.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…dd7abacked Yes | 20c | 193.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 19c | 130.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 79c | 121.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 19c | 75.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 20c | 68.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 17c | 64.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed No | 79c | 47.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 80c | 29.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.