Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523ddb1d9f92bab5188e792224b00945d678a524b931851468063dd3a60a96e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 4c | 8,704$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.49 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,012$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 95 | 11.6%11 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,722$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,401$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 3,066$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 1c | 3,014$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 3c | 2,667$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,639$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,603$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,577$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…f7f1backed Yes | 3c | 2,508$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…666fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,130$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…71f5backed Yes | 6c | 2,114$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…c40abacked Yes | 3c | 2,064$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…fc06backed Yes | 3c | 2,008$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…88c7backed Yes | 1c | 1,902$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…1ce1backed Yes | 3c | 1,860$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…27bbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,792$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8d…e4cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,715$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f86ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,662$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b345backed Yes | 1c | 1,569$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,556$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…b25abacked Yes | 5c | 1,516$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…7925backed Yes | 3c | 1,488$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…8a8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,442$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 7c | 1,413$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…0249backed Yes | 6c | 1,353$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…c39abacked Yes | 3c | 1,321$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…7aa7backed Yes | 3c | 1,311$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…2887backed Yes | 3c | 1,292$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…61bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,279$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…c3b9backed Yes | 6c | 1,237$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…9ca7backed Yes | 5c | 1,227$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,194$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…1365backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…263cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,187$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…97a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,181$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4134…58d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,072$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,007$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…a0a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,006$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…33d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…61d5backed Yes | 2c | 956.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…712ebacked Yes | 3c | 953$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…5954backed Yes | 3c | 931$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…73adbacked Yes | 1c | 921.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…94fdbacked Yes | 6c | 919$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 2c | 848.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…225ebacked Yes | 6c | 813$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 783.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…4fd1backed Yes | 6c | 776$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…774ebacked Yes | 6c | 750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…02c1backed Yes | 3c | 733$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…85cebacked Yes | 6c | 727$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…20c1backed Yes | 6c | 694$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…5b7bbacked Yes | 6c | 655$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…9ccdbacked Yes | 6c | 630$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…157fbacked Yes | 4c | 625$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 6c | 601.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…1d9bbacked Yes | 6c | 590$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 541.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 5c | 536.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…7089backed Yes | 6c | 515$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bc…5377backed Yes | 10c | 513.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…b59ebacked Yes | 6c | 510$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…9fe1backed Yes | 3c | 509$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…2d53backed Yes | 3c | 502$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…bd63backed Yes | 3c | 490$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…c53cbacked Yes | 6c | 480$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…a04fbacked Yes | 6c | 475$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…1f1dbacked Yes | 6c | 473$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4797…59d7backed Yes | 3c | 462$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…23c1backed Yes | 6c | 459$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 447.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…0631backed Yes | 6c | 434$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…1e02backed Yes | 6c | 427$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…dbeebacked Yes | 7c | 426$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…d9f3backed Yes | 6c | 424$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…087cbacked Yes | 3c | 407$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…7acbbacked Yes | 6c | 398$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…e553backed Yes | 5c | 390.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 390.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 388.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…db35backed Yes | 7c | 388$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…7bc8backed Yes | 4c | 387$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…0180backed Yes | 4c | 386$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…500abacked Yes | 7c | 379$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…274bbacked Yes | 4c | 375$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…3045backed Yes | 7c | 371$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…1c9bbacked Yes | 7c | 360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…e5dfbacked Yes | 4c | 352$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…329dbacked Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked Yes | 6c | 299.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 7c | 277.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…e92cbacked Yes | 7c | 213.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 6c | 212.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.