TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf78…7736backed No43c46,152$19,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,940.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c8,578$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.125,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c4,998$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1361,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c3,593$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.832,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No58c2,335$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.719246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes42c1,782$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.811,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c1,548$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.261,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes57c1,539$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.774953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes57c1,220$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.18558.8%50 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Yes55c1,127$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed No46c1,099$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.542642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes15c1,069$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.8415826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes58c959.97$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0419055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c917.14$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8162349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes58c865.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3216356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes56c708.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.333135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes56c549$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6911742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes56c499.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.51,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No5c480.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.265335.8%19 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c478.75$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6579435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes57c457.46$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.311758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.65837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes58c434.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2811654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes58c433.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.22763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c411.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes56c394$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes63c366.77$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3113153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes56c365$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.061,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes55c359$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5513949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.987834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes58c308.62$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c303.64$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.481,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c299.95$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.981,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c279.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.931,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes18c268.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8249044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c263.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.451,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c242.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5989955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No42c238.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Yes58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes57c194.12$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.169458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes41c190.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.852,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes57c181.52$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3416759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.27557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes56c177.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.341942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes57c174.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.969056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes57c174.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.589552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes58c172.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.810041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No44c161.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes56c159.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.143943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes42c156$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.489653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes34c147.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Yes57c139$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes42c127.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.235149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c126.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8946422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes55c126$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.717545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes55c124.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.057844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No21c115.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4213349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes56c113$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes56c112.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes56c108.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.384362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.145446.3%25 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes57c105.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.855949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes56c105.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.976361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes56c104.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.857466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes56c104.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.453574.3%26 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+60.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes57c104.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1647860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes56c101.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.555667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes56c100.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.88100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes56c99.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Yes56c98.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No23c91.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.865162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes56c88.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.845567.3%37 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes56c88.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8422656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes56c88.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.815358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes57c88.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.214058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Yes57c87.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes56c81.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6739058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yes57c81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes56c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45032%16 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes28c77.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed Yes13c76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes56c74.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.32878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9213951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Yes57c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes59c67.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.