Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e1fd0983d950dd4e473cd17a7af4d271c26bc69b72d68f3ec03c9286d333d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 713.91$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.34 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 25c | 483.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 242.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 75c | 223.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 194$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 180.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Yes | 27c | 166.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 129.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 121.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 15c | 92.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 84.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 74c | 80.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 74c | 80.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 74.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 38c | 73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 62.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 53.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 53.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 45.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 42.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…dbfdbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 36.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 73c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 32.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…8e29backed Yes | 66c | 30.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…b078backed Yes | 62c | 17.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 78c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 74c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 74c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.