Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b115c641aa9c1b0d6673fe33ed0e488684f0c6b9a5e4bf24becc63d031b269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,586$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 782.72$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 753.63$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 20c | 740$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 24c | 509.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Yes | 62c | 318.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 58c | 303.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…1002backed Yes | 50c | 212.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 44c | 201.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 172.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…b075backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed No | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 8c | 151.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed No | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 55c | 130.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 115.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 96.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 93.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 81.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 73.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 72.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 67c | 70.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 67.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 72c | 67.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 49.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 75c | 48.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 66c | 29.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 20.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.