MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce4799f7e96b760d8efc620ef03c277047704cd3c98cf69e6c8f0d61f20017c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 41c | 2,122$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.05 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 59c | 1,528$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.68 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,375.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 1,138$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Under | 44c | 1,110$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 38c | 1,006$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.95 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 600$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 542.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.09 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 40c | 446.52$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f359backed Under | 61c | 297.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 295.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Under | 30c | 295.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 62c | 263.72$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 60c | 239.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 21c | 224.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 50c | 175.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Under | 74c | 170.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 67c | 114.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 106.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 75c | 104.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 74c | 89.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 77c | 87.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 23c | 86.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 86.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 40c | 73.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 66c | 70.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 57.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 72c | 48.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 56c | 40.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 60c | 38.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 56c | 36.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Under | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 40c | 27.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.