Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ed9118ec508b0d0f493e868eaed3cfdaca151612be861fad0597d844b4cbbbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $957,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,268,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 60c | 245,753$146,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,525.55 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 202,914$80,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,260.73 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Xtreme Gaming | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 61c | 26,112$16,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,068.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 20,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 17,021$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 16,849$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 16,000$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.71 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 14,621$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 13,450$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.16 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 54c | 12,782$6,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.69 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Yandex | 57c | 11,286$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.06 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.99 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 58c | 10,738$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.22 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 8,520$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.73 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 7,845$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 7,777$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 7,771$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.51 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 7,351$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.92 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 7,110$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.69 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Yandex | 59c | 6,500$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.36 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 5,980$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.92 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 5,491$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.16 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 4,982$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.32 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 43c | 4,934$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.62 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 4,342$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 59c | 4,300$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 4,137$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.49 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Team Yandex | 58c | 4,126$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 4,083$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.99 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 3,970$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 3,519$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 3,340$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.34 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 3,171$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.34 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 3,026$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 2,900$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.95 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,605$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 2,541$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,449$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.51 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 2,449$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.27 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed Team Yandex | 79c | 2,353$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,345$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.36 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,300$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.41 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Team Yandex | 58c | 2,282$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.61 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,208$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 2,139$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 61c | 2,138$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.04 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,087$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.46 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 2,086$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,023$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.29 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 1,723$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.89 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 1,700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 1,670$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.97 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,439$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.18 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 78c | 1,406$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.37 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 1,400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,374$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,342$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.23 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,300$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,225$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,220$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,200$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 1,185$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,112$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.07 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,011$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.27 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 999.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Yandex | 49c | 983.36$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 975.42$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 47c | 931.27$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 915.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Team Yandex | 59c | 900$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 889.34$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Yandex | 59c | 873.42$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 840$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 804.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 800.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.61 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Yandex | 60c | 765$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 759.05$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Yandex | 60c | 758.8$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 729.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 700$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…8bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 661.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 661.5$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 656.73$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Yandex | 63c | 630.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.49 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 620$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 617.08$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 611.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 57c | 600$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.