Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116ac25a35e4d82319ca49acd4db983c9e6bcfd58d4c889b742069e16aedbeab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Team Yandex, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,038,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,320,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 56c | 248,433$140,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,301.63 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 168,600$70,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,788.1 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 50,825$23,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,852.05 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Yandex | 55c | 43,928$24,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,085.16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Yandex | 54c | 25,269$13,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,739.78 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 8c | 24,852$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 24,325$10,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,106.74 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 21,681$11,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,405.81 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…71b7backed Team Yandex | 35c | 16,100$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 13,950$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 12,800$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 10,707$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.15 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 9,010$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 8,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.79 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex | 57c | 6,807$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.91 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 6,743$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 6,497$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.27 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Team Yandex | 2c | 6,484$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 6,413$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.7 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Team Yandex | 0c | 5,675$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 5,207$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.99 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 5,193$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 5,067$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.66 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 5,031$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Yandex | 55c | 4,808$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.82 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 4,362$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.8 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.01 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,947$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex | 57c | 3,941$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.26 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 54c | 3,933$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.59 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex | 14c | 3,900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex | 23c | 3,713$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Team Yandex | 22c | 3,684$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 3,652$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Yandex | 7c | 3,356$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Yandex | 6c | 3,351$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,350$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.48 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 3,311$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.46 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 26c | 3,244$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 34c | 3,184$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.72 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 54c | 3,000$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,837$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 2,662$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.95 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 31c | 2,585$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 2,543$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.14 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,500$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.55 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 2,492$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.17 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,437$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.21 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex | 26c | 2,289$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 2,238$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 3c | 2,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,184$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.88 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,093$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.94 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 2,051$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.32 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 2,037$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.6 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 1,970$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.57 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 41c | 1,939$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,859$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,791$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.14 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Team Yandex | 1c | 1,780$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,669$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.7 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 1,617$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,578$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.76 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,472$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Team Yandex | 2c | 1,360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,205$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.87 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,204$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Yandex | 14c | 1,187$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,155$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.56 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex | 4c | 1,126$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 30c | 1,125$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.38 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,119$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.8 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,097$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.09 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Team Yandex | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 957.91$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 954.79$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 36c | 924.95$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.07 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 920$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.35 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 905.45$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.25 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…2fcbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 900$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Yandex | 34c | 887.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.01 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 855$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.7 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 842.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.97 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 834.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…8216backed Team Yandex | 55c | 826.05$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex | 60c | 807$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 799.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.69 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 791.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.82 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex | 4c | 791.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Team Yandex | 4c | 770.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.