TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93d1…1a38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will LGD Gaming win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$424
Will Team Falcons win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$67.05
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$178.54
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$149.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$128.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.35
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$211.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.8%+$92.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3,750
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,969.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,773Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,191.35
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$860.99
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.83
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.76
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$3,266.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$355.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,510
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,949.8
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.58
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$336.47
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$188.6
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,646.18
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,863.03
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$46.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,326.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.