CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d04ff8a7fb9dda4d9f1d9051e1e86920571baf279a4cf18fcb8947ab6a4d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $833,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x378d…9291backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 59,745$17,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,075.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 49,736$10,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,648.22 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 73c | 44,032$32,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,779.35 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vitality | 73c | 40,005$29,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900.79 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 27,211$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.6 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality | 72c | 14,480$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.4 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 78c | 12,700$9,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.03 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 12,068$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.37 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 11,894$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 73c | 11,243$8,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.84 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 76c | 11,180$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.94 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 11,068$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.34 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 10,962$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.63 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 10,387$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 9,080$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.67 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 8,994$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.44 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 7,053$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.94 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 6,764$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.95 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 6,001$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.25 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 73c | 5,685$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.02 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 5,668$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 5,391$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 5,331$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.28 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…3100backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Vitality | 75c | 5,153$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.25 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,450$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.12 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 4,128$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.54 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 4,022$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 74c | 4,000$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 3,808$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality | 72c | 3,753$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.85 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 3,535$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Vitality | 73c | 3,440$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.7 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Vitality | 73c | 3,356$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,222$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.77 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Vitality | 78c | 3,044$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.27 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,985$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.24 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,957$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.86 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,899$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.72 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,835$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.9 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Vitality | 74c | 2,826$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.85 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 2,764$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Vitality | 73c | 2,731$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,643$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Vitality | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,367$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Vitality | 72c | 2,265$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.05 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,228$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 2,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 2,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Vitality | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.96 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,955$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,951$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Vitality | 76c | 1,933$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,913$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Vitality | 76c | 1,900$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,877$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,830$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.35 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Vitality | 70c | 1,789$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.91 | 617 | 37.9%234 W · 383 L | -22.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,775$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,749$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,705$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,685$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 77c | 1,665$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…b4b5backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,642$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,581$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,567$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,563$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,472$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.71 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Vitality | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed Vitality | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Vitality | 76c | 1,335$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Vitality | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,265$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…32c4backed Vitality | 72c | 1,233$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Vitality | 74c | 1,188$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality | 75c | 1,172$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,153$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,120$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 75c | 1,105$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed Vitality | 73c | 1,104$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,088$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality | 72c | 1,066$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…06acbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,008$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Vitality | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.