TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9012…cb82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$298.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$57.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$25.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$67.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$573
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$135.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$142.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.17
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$60.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$189.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+71.3%+$282.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$151.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.44
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.75
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.02
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.7%+$26.74
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$186.46
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$273.85
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$67.59
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$23.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$90.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.