TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof MOUZ, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,333 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed MOUZ72c51,000$36,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,949.973135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz27c35,179$9,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,680.5822142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz34c22,991$7,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,225.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz28c15,705$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,273.535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ73c15,000$10,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,949.8676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ71c12,000$8,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,519.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ74c9,411$6,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,95912649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz28c8,213$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,942.9610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ58c8,121$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.9522550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked MOUZ1c7,999$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9913315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…3538backed MOUZ13c7,836$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ74c7,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.9929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz27c6,989$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,101.9697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ72c6,962$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,012.4983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked TheMongolz58c6,010$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.512465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed TheMongolz26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70021528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ42c4,603$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.8514144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked TheMongolz69c4,496$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.982,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz47c4,471$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.023,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed MOUZ58c4,457$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz41c4,332$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.821,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz49c4,256$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.2637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz27c4,205$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.713044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz59c3,401$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.9172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked TheMongolz26c3,200$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.7710550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed TheMongolz27c2,800$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.611940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz49c2,728$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.92,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked TheMongolz28c2,700$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz51c2,582$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.961,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked TheMongolz34c2,487$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.5217148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed MOUZ74c2,429$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz27c2,389$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.8920838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed TheMongolz30c2,300$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6128050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed MOUZ74c2,249$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.793545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ29c2,214$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7121939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed MOUZ35c2,111$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.7210663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc690…42b8backed MOUZ73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ74c1,977$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.645,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab35…60f6backed MOUZ54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9995534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked MOUZ73c1,723$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.113852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ52c1,631$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.7644957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed TheMongolz27c1,584$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.9348437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed MOUZ61c1,535$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9358750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed MOUZ34c1,512$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked TheMongolz26c1,243$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.554645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed TheMongolz59c1,210$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.8480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed TheMongolz26c1,204$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed TheMongolz70c1,173$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed TheMongolz28c1,171$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.436836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz31c1,137$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.4122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ44c1,122$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3425555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ72c1,100$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked MOUZ55c1,019$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.3330748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked TheMongolz76c1,000$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked TheMongolz48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked MOUZ73c999.99$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7308445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz58c985.88$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8816947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x135b…2c6dbacked TheMongolz73c984.26$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz56c980$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz53c976.21$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed MOUZ38c944.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed TheMongolz39c917.28$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz27c854$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4212153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz47c844.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4483,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ36c801.26$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.721,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz78c760.75$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6639970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked TheMongolz31c754.64$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1416738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1e…8ecabacked TheMongolz44c750.05$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.182055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed MOUZ56c750$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.136555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz27c700$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz43c696.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.221,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked MOUZ72c645.99$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4632552%13 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed TheMongolz59c640.25$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2527459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed MOUZ70c639$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.311046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked MOUZ63c631.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43878963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MOUZ16c584.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4624544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ32c562$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked TheMongolz27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.565641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ40c549.88$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked TheMongolz27c548.88$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6818043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…8326backed MOUZ28c547.62$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked MOUZ73c539.09$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5417945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed TheMongolz48c522.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.734367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30057358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ9c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed MOUZ22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11047641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed TheMongolz27c480.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.6711928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed MOUZ55c477.49$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4213857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz27c468.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.474,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed MOUZ70c466.3$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.412867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed MOUZ13c455$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2518426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed MOUZ50c450$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed TheMongolz68c440.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.235158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ73c431.77$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ56c427.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed MOUZ57c419.51$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2395959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.