TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof MOUZ, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,199 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ45c8,020$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.7824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz54c6,650$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz55c6,429$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.1281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ46c3,428$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.7530340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz55c2,732$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.2461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ43c1,900$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.9883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9836245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed MOUZ46c1,448$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6662240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz44c1,431$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed TheMongolz52c1,074$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ48c1,022$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.775,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ1c990$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed MOUZ55c909.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ43c849.5$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz54c699.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked TheMongolz55c694.62$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz54c646.03$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0310251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked MOUZ47c643.16$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.353737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed MOUZ45c599.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27042845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked MOUZ61c500.34$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2111340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed MOUZ46c500.27$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23111645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed MOUZ46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed MOUZ45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9924134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz46c491.83$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.161,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz55c434.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.559258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked MOUZ52c422.02$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202552%13 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed TheMongolz55c392$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.416250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed MOUZ45c349.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.494942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed MOUZ46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz55c318.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ39c300.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.262,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ44c253.34$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.891,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked TheMongolz55c204.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9316738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed MOUZ46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9212552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked TheMongolz55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed MOUZ53c187.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked TheMongolz54c186.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7465662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed TheMongolz55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8267651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz56c178.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6125248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed TheMongolz54c169.64$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6410251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked TheMongolz56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.718633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e44…2af6backed MOUZ45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz53c155.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.971,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed TheMongolz59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5441847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6af…ac29backed MOUZ46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed MOUZ58c129.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed MOUZ46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked MOUZ13c112.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.857545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked TheMongolz55c109.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.053154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…c270backed MOUZ46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked MOUZ47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked TheMongolz53c106.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed MOUZ46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz58c104.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed MOUZ46c104$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8160451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed TheMongolz52c102.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1852755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed MOUZ45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce82…b8c3backed MOUZ46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed MOUZ45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4554…9694backed TheMongolz56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz47c92.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed MOUZ56c89.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d5…c615backed TheMongolz56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed MOUZ46c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4225446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed MOUZ46c66.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6611350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed TheMongolz55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278159.3%48 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed TheMongolz55c58.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2712856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked MOUZ56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed MOUZ29c52.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2113436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed TheMongolz55c50.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5822551.1%115 W · 110 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked TheMongolz55c50.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5727848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed MOUZ46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2361054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed TheMongolz51c46.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.676248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed TheMongolz55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4556454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fe…1c44backed TheMongolz55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked MOUZ42c43.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.418541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked MOUZ29c43.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed MOUZ46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed MOUZ46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked TheMongolz55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368242.7%35 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…51fdbacked MOUZ49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.158842%37 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bf…dc9ebacked MOUZ45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…0099backed MOUZ46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa391…dd32backed MOUZ46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158861.4%54 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ43c31.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa574…4596backed TheMongolz54c31.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed MOUZ46c30.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed MOUZ45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-6.3wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked TheMongolz55c28.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfde6…9212backed MOUZ52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e59…ab0dbacked TheMongolz56c24.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked TheMongolz78c13.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0113351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.