CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0922aec6d2399646237e3d92aafb7e47e8bf3076a2bd61c5931595d727ca65ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,617 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 54c | 3,124$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.66 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 2,241$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 46c | 2,115$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.7 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 54c | 1,811$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.05 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Over | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.95 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 47c | 955.87$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Over | 45c | 870$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 46c | 847.83$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Over | 74c | 810.84$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 699.77$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 50c | 638.29$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 49c | 607.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 565.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 54c | 478.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 57c | 443.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 43c | 442.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 316.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Under | 55c | 312.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 43c | 251.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Over | 53c | 235.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 60c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 26c | 143.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b8c3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 54c | 96.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 55c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 85.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Over | 49c | 83.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 42c | 76.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 57c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 52c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 70.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Under | 25c | 63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 56c | 61.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c97backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 59c | 54.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Over | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 43.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 65c | 41.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 32c | 33.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b21bbacked Over | 43c | 33.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…60a7backed Over | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…9212backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 59c | 24.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 45c | 22.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 55c | 18.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Over | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.