TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,617 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c3,124$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.6636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c2,241$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.33,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over46c2,115$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under54c1,811$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Over47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over45c1,120$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over47c955.87$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Over45c870$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.824645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over46c847.83$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Over74c810.84$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5971553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c699.77$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.561,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under50c638.29$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.851,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Over49c607.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…81f2backed Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under53c565.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…cbf0backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77f…05a4backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under54c478.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2916738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over57c443.92$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.941,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under43c442.55$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.372,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c316.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.592,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Under55c312.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9310541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under43c251.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.63,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Over53c235.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under55c199.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.829862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under60c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under26c143.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under32c134.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under55c111$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce82…b8c3backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5323057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over54c96.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.745956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Under55c89.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.496245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c85.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Over49c83.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under55c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5548943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under42c76.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under57c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over52c72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.581,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under56c70.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.675,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Under25c63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.554122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked Under56c61.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0710353.4%55 W · 48 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Under64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.620949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252552%13 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd303…9c97backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over59c54.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.851,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over58c46.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over61c43.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Over65c41.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2410447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.434742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under32c33.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.773636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked Over43c33.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f7…60a7backed Over45c33.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over55c26.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked Over46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…9212backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Under59c24.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0822349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over62c23.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.669848%47 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over45c22.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.737339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over55c18.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.114122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed Over66c15.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.355156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.