CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c4eecb6d5514b5ad756552b6e84c4526384877e626f137a7c80189664eec48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,274 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Astralis | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis | 19c | 19,830$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.14 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 15,205$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.32 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Astralis | 44c | 13,193$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 74c | 10,109$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.58 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed FUT Esports | 58c | 9,000$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.09 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports | 76c | 8,434$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.59 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports | 78c | 8,365$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.13 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed FUT Esports | 79c | 8,166$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.52 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 80c | 8,000$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 48c | 3,778$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.32 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 75c | 3,072$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports | 74c | 2,655$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 19c | 2,637$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports | 70c | 2,615$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…0286backed Astralis | 22c | 2,224$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Astralis | 44c | 2,080$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 14c | 1,918$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 23c | 1,859$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.2 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6a22backed FUT Esports | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Astralis | 20c | 1,717$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 22c | 1,671$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports | 72c | 1,569$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.44 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis | 19c | 1,556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 1,554$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.23 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 25c | 1,486$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,409$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.31 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Astralis | 7c | 1,408$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 45c | 1,332$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,207$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 46c | 1,145$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.15 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.43 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Astralis | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,042$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Astralis | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports | 70c | 974.02$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Astralis | 45c | 891.91$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked FUT Esports | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Astralis | 43c | 695.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 35c | 685.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed FUT Esports | 74c | 678.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Astralis | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 66c | 647.82$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Astralis | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FUT Esports | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Astralis | 22c | 597.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed FUT Esports | 58c | 555$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Astralis | 13c | 547$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Astralis | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Astralis | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Astralis | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 435.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Astralis | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FUT Esports | 53c | 395.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Astralis | 5c | 320$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Astralis | 32c | 312.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Astralis | 20c | 302.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports | 55c | 294.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Astralis | 49c | 281.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed FUT Esports | 78c | 276.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Astralis | 9c | 264.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 17c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Astralis | 8c | 224.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 6c | 222.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked FUT Esports | 68c | 219.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Astralis | 22c | 214.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Astralis | 44c | 207.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Astralis | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Astralis | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed FUT Esports | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Astralis | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 174.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked Astralis | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Astralis | 17c | 167$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Astralis | 33c | 152.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis | 21c | 152.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Astralis | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Astralis | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FUT Esports | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Astralis | 33c | 133.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Astralis | 42c | 131.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Astralis | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 30c | 130.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed FUT Esports | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Astralis | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed FUT Esports | 56c | 118.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 104.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed FUT Esports | 59c | 101.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed FUT Esports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Astralis | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed FUT Esports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.