TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,274 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Astralis8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis19c19,830$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.1430726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports56c15,205$8,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,629.3276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Astralis44c13,193$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,805.043435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports74c10,109$7,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.583,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed FUT Esports58c9,000$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.0910663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports76c8,434$6,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.592,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports78c8,365$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed FUT Esports79c8,166$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.5211550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports80c8,000$6,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.391,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Astralis48c3,778$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.3246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports75c3,072$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.064,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports74c2,655$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.243,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Astralis19c2,637$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports70c2,615$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.51,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Astralis22c2,224$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Astralis44c2,080$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9155738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.981,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis14c1,918$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis23c1,859$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f9f…6a22backed FUT Esports57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Astralis20c1,717$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.446848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis22c1,671$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports72c1,569$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis19c1,556$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports55c1,554$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis25c1,486$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.121,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FUT Esports54c1,409$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.3116152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked Astralis7c1,408$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.32464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis27c1,370$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis45c1,332$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.962,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis9c1,207$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4422927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis46c1,145$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.151,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed FUT Esports64c1,094$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4313453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Astralis23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis9c1,042$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.861,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Astralis40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports70c974.02$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Astralis45c891.91$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3979753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63fe…9f1ebacked FUT Esports80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Astralis43c695.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis35c685.08$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed FUT Esports74c678.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5723557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed Astralis15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports66c647.82$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.024,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Astralis10c600$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.038633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FUT Esports57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Astralis22c597.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.455234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FUT Esports58c555$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Astralis13c547$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Astralis49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Astralis44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Astralis20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports51c435.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.385,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Astralis48c412.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis15c400$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.561,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed FUT Esports53c395.61$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2725934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Astralis5c320$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Astralis32c312.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Astralis20c302.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports55c294.53$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5418336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Astralis49c281.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.822342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9012…cb82backed FUT Esports78c276.29$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.782263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked Astralis9c264.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.836246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Astralis17c250$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Astralis8c224.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9623940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis6c222.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…8e0abacked FUT Esports68c219.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6911953.8%64 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Astralis22c214.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.097865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Astralis44c207.03$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7612348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Astralis26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Astralis49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9813947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed FUT Esports72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5622952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Astralis49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2216250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports74c174.74$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb311…a72dbacked Astralis29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509443.6%41 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Astralis17c167$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.737739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Astralis33c152.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis21c152.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3927740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Astralis44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Astralis44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed FUT Esports56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8637445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Astralis33c133.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Astralis42c131.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed Astralis23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis30c130.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed FUT Esports57c128.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0738456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Astralis16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207534.7%26 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed FUT Esports56c118.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.915056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked FUT Esports73c104.38$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1811636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed FUT Esports59c101.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.043847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed FUT Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Astralis29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed FUT Esports75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.