TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf31b…241bbacked FUT Esports6c25,981$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.5522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis55c23,924$13,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,766.3676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis55c10,194$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.3522550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports18c10,036$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.3530726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Astralis53c8,321$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.913135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis49c8,201$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.4383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed FUT Esports51c8,193$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.433435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FUT Esports44c7,000$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.9912653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports54c6,791$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.7146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports32c6,582$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.992,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Astralis59c6,424$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.4210663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Astralis77c4,089$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4714355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis58c4,005$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.14,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports21c3,806$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports45c3,781$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.597,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis52c3,550$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.0597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked FUT Esports45c3,133$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis68c3,002$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.4944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis77c3,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41022142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Astralis54c2,327$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.815441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed FUT Esports45c2,269$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0214341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports43c2,040$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.383,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FUT Esports47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports45c1,985$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0329046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis71c1,964$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.361,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked FUT Esports23c1,914$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.166848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Astralis74c1,714$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.815,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked FUT Esports3c1,578$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis77c1,500$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Astralis80c1,464$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4812446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked FUT Esports46c1,350$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FUT Esports11c1,225$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.452837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports29c1,150$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3371,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa370…06fbbacked FUT Esports45c1,120$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed FUT Esports45c1,115$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2214151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis54c1,113$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis46c1,065$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.0519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FUT Esports45c999.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Astralis73c922.84$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.175151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Astralis46c922$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8834943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports40c899.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Astralis56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8613453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FUT Esports14c890$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.426549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed FUT Esports46c833.31$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9433448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked FUT Esports49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked FUT Esports21c800$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8916846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FUT Esports8c781$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports20c757.47$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked FUT Esports46c737.23$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.513951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Astralis69c721.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.881154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked FUT Esports44c696.52$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0117850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FUT Esports26c678.26$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.211252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis78c637.71$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports45c624.89$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked FUT Esports20c586.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.358536.5%31 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis53c566$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports23c528.15$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.441,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked FUT Esports50c496.58$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis80c471.41$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Astralis55c444$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.825651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed FUT Esports14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Astralis52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Astralis53c354.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.099457.4%54 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports24c352.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.065,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked FUT Esports30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Astralis55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.246344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Astralis55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.229244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Astralis55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.249745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Astralis70c319.82$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8231757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked FUT Esports17c294.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Astralis56c267.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5413051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports23c263.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis56c254.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0111928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed FUT Esports32c250$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.841716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Astralis54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7412452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports20c233.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4352947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed FUT Esports18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3638131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Astralis54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed FUT Esports45c184.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2333352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed Astralis56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.25644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…3a1dbacked FUT Esports33c177.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2150%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed FUT Esports19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb311…a72dbacked FUT Esports48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759443.6%41 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed FUT Esports55c154$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.716250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed FUT Esports33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Astralis52c148.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0815056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed FUT Esports14c144.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis64c139.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.993,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis73c136$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.722,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FUT Esports26c135.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.771,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed FUT Esports20c127.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4220332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked FUT Esports38c119.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fa…d805backed Astralis55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed FUT Esports17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Astralis53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2137445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.