TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x520e…d75a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
489
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT28837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 288 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+518.7%+$386.55
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.41
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.49
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$117.81
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.61
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$308.12
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$456.43
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$302.68
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$889.34
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$149.8
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$342.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.56
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$13.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+218.9%+$361.13
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+659.3%+$322.14
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$30
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$517.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$258.26
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.65
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.48
Showing 25 of 288 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$194.49
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$48.49
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$48.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+119.9%+$98.13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+90.6%+$199.64
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.9%+$201.04
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.2%+$16.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.3%+$471.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.4%+$621.1
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89.4%+$488
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.4%+$1,387.25
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$120
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$98.93
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$19.3
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.23
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$267.22
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$478.24
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$523.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked INFURITY Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$64.6
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Fortress (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Bbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs struggletony (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Bbacked struggletony · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$188.27
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.28
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.66
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.39
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Abacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.4
Map Handicap: THUNDER dOWNUNDER (-1.5) vs Time Waves (+1.5)backed Time Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.8
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)backed Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$203.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$82.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$106.67
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$330.02
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.92
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$45.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.32
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.8
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.92
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manuel Torres win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$86.19
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$343.37
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.1
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$934.12
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.98
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$125.73
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$266.52
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$193.27
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$480.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.3%+$145.5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+111.8%+$359.7
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+144.6%+$295.6
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+91.1%+$140.65
Will Sangwook Kim win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.8%+$71.85
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+76.6%+$77.22
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+172.6%+$90.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+167%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,508.6%+$1,294.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$93.57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$372.98
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$132.05
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.2%+$73.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$195.35
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+158.1%+$304.42
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,389.2%+$251.87
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.1%+$9.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$264.96
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+218.4%+$379.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.93
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$120.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$194.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$64.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+102.3%+$236.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.86
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29%+$9
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.57
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31%+$7.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-74.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+431.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick6cpaid+706.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tulane (-9.5)backed Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$10.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.