La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2f569e1becb8c14f75272c8927526dbf9c34d4578c2d880d57f02418173327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,988 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 51c | 11,437$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 51c | 7,761$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 7,592$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.18 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 5,034$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.56 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 51c | 4,224$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 3,162$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.08 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.03 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Under | 51c | 1,824$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 1,769$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,199$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 68c | 982.35$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 44c | 974$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 917.05$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.35 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 45c | 876.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.06 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 830.4$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 49c | 801.04$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 800$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.54 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 48c | 800$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.78 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 61c | 655.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 51c | 520.74$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under | 28c | 515.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 49c | 508$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 502.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 49c | 501.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 50c | 473$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Over | 49c | 435.8$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Under | 47c | 429.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 47c | 395.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 25c | 387.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.28 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 57c | 367.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Over | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 52c | 269$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 268.04$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 15c | 262.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 66c | 258.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 49c | 224.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 49c | 203.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 51c | 202.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 38c | 183.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 177.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…589fbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 160.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 155.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 68c | 147.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 27c | 138.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 60c | 124.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Under | 52c | 122.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 49c | 120.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 119.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 112.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 104.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…75bdbacked Over | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.