La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca899835fe57e2b33f54a573e2e03c3eeed24eb8f2ef25d80a30c2dcf3cbd173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof RC Celta de Vigo, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,516 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Real Betis Balompié | 79c | 3,560$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 21c | 2,030$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed RC Celta de Vigo | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…9fc8backed RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 368.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…0330backed RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 261.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…d142backed RC Celta de Vigo | 14c | 261.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 136.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 109$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 23c | 93.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 19c | 87.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed Real Betis Balompié | 78c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Real Betis Balompié | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.