La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9b8844d153d68cb1a445ebe18dcdb670cb3e1e496210b4a009db6087f544ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof Real Betis Balompié, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,427 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Real Betis Balompié | 5c | 999.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…62f6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 990$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 865.05$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…2a81backed RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 860$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 324.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…dd6fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 292.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…1e6fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 292.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…43dbbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 292.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…2297backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 292.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Real Betis Balompié | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 76c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.