TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,868$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,429$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes54c1,199$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7211146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c1,029$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No46c799.91$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.963330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes68c737.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.95100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No38c711$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.373435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes53c613.56$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.245255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c457.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5420148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No38c430.29$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6617032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes56c375$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No39c303.49$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.161,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes70c235.82$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c228.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.121,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed No47c212.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes54c180$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.26256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No45c177.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes54c174.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes72c136.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.674665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.367851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes55c135.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes55c134.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.193366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes62c113.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.292236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes54c110.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3810152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c99.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7342158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes55c91.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.034257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ea…1c3fbacked Yes55c81.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes65c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.613249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4318842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c71.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.742,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4418backed No46c65.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Yes55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Yes56c59.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c58.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575275%39 W · 13 L+11.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed No47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed No45c52.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes55c47.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.458355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes55c47.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4510461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.459056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes56c44.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.482619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8601…eca3backed Yes54c42.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4610761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365453.7%29 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7320947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7717466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.797946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7911646.6%54 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No44c26.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes65c26.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Yes55c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.745151%26 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes55c23.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No46c23.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7928847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…336dbacked Yes56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Yes56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87268.1%49 W · 23 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes55c19.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7911657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.