TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0968…589f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Morocco to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.55
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.63
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$160.28
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.35
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$29.76
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Targu Mures: Marko Topo vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$59.56
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zhizhen Zhang vs Henry Searlebacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Borna Gojobacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$47.05
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.26
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$156.56
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.