NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff5faeb3c1db651fdf30c6e9b4b51bf6d8b8fde581c88f0ab9aca159010c4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 7,068$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 48c | 5,177$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.23 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,670$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.1 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,600$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 2,140$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 702.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 592.97$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.03 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 53c | 579.09$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…589fbacked Over | 61c | 455.39$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 339.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 248.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 21c | 204.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Under | 78c | 151.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 148$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 42c | 114.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 95.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 83.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 48c | 72.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 52c | 67.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 52c | 67.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 43c | 53.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 42.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…5dd5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 38c | 29.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 62c | 25.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. JetsJets won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Jets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.