NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b9e06250c2327d41fa2775f20664cb692fd61605f24b6c5f6bc99e0955eb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Jets, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3217…c5c3backed Blues | 72c | 7,392$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Jets | 28c | 3,172$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.09 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Jets | 28c | 773.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 70c | 434.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Jets | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Jets | 32c | 234.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Blues | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Blues | 68c | 194.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jets | 28c | 157$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jets | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 74c | 95.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jets | 28c | 94.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jets | 33c | 80.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blues | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Jets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Blues | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Blues | 67c | 53.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Blues | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Blues | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jets | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blues | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Jets | 31c | 33.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Blues | 69c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Jets | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jets | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. JetsJets won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.