Fifa International · resolved market
Germany leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36eafdf3cb2ab216483ba3f073f0c40d30045a6327c82db399e666300b53f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 88,157$45,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,016.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 48,171$23,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,175.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 57c | 38,201$21,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,912.9 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 37,736$21,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 56c | 32,901$18,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,569.41 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 29,705$12,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,931.71 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 44c | 22,082$9,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,365.65 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 56c | 21,217$11,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,970.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 50c | 20,078$10,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.23 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 25c | 18,000$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.01 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 16,134$8,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 15,579$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,936.04 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 14,344$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300.88 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.97 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 11,850$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,635.98 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 43c | 11,547$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.06 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ad44backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 55c | 8,794$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 8,564$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 7,976$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.59 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 7,382$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 7,345$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 6,584$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 42c | 6,508$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.38 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 43c | 6,400$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 6,346$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 57c | 6,316$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.67 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 5,629$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.45 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 47c | 5,340$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 46c | 4,322$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.7 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.93 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 57c | 3,685$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.65 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…5a0fbacked Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 44c | 3,463$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.94 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 3,449$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.06 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 3,317$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.09 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 57c | 2,580$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.6 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 57c | 2,496$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.83 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 50c | 2,310$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.82 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…f802backed Yes | 51c | 2,301$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 44c | 2,276$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.59 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 2,054$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 31c | 1,999$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.72 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 1,854$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…8ee9backed Yes | 55c | 1,761$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 58c | 1,738$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 18c | 1,665$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,545$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 44c | 1,506$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 1,462$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,399$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.79 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 1,318$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.63 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 46c | 1,166$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.63 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,110$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 1,068$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.76 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…a063backed Yes | 1c | 1,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Yes | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 22c | 914$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 2c | 862.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b6bcbacked Yes | 11c | 850$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed Yes | 49c | 800$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Yes | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 764.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 34c | 758.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 44c | 722.93$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.84 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 50c | 712.55$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 700.83$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.78 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 48c | 695.17$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 35c | 647.87$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 48c | 622.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 57c | 618.73$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 30c | 610$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 595$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 594.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.37 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 55c | 558.91$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 556.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 54c | 555.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany leading at halftime?this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?No won
- Paraguay leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.