TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c88,157$45,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,016.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c48,171$23,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,175.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes57c38,201$21,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,912.918047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes56c37,736$21,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,200.712,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes56c32,901$18,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,569.4177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No43c29,705$12,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,931.7121333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No44c22,082$9,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,365.6520448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes56c21,217$11,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,970.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes50c20,078$10,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,039.2326320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes25c18,000$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.0113639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c16,134$8,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No43c15,579$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,936.0474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes58c14,344$8,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,300.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.9729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No44c11,850$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,635.9829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed No43c11,547$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.067835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…ad44backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Yes55c8,794$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8008316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No46c8,564$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c7,976$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c7,382$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c7,345$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.543,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c6,584$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.342,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No42c6,508$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.3846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No43c6,400$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c6,346$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes57c6,316$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.6763035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No80c5,629$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.4531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes47c5,340$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes46c4,322$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.9329250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes57c3,685$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.6533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8b…5a0fbacked Yes56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No44c3,463$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.941,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes57c3,449$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.0631152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c3,317$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes57c2,580$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes57c2,496$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.837140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c2,310$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86a…f802backed Yes51c2,301$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No44c2,276$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes58c2,069$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes52c2,054$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.692,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.976848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes31c1,999$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.7252522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c1,854$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Yes55c1,761$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed Yes58c1,738$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes18c1,665$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No43c1,600$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes55c1,545$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes44c1,506$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c1,462$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0933337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes48c1,399$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c1,318$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.631,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No46c1,166$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6316946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd452…51bbbacked Yes50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c1,068$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed Yes1c1,002$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56012738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes22c914$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes57c878$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.465639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a61…588bbacked Yes2c862.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157536%27 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9022…b6bcbacked Yes11c850$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Yes49c800$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Yes47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3764045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c764.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7135036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes34c758.32$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.552,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No44c722.93$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8421044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No50c712.55$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes58c700.83$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7814061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes48c695.17$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.176732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No43c674.42$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4216342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes35c647.87$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.611,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No48c622.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbb…32afbacked Yes57c618.73$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012726.8%34 W · 93 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes30c610$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.220337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c595$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.382,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c594.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.372,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Yes55c558.91$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c556.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.013,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes54c555.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.933551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.