Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90829857f5a977e11619bb76fd4a91ae6b1a0b4964f1f871159dfd8e65b194ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 52,293$30,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,858.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 20,712$12,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,360.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 35c | 14,369$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 35c | 14,282$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.79 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 9,348$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 46c | 6,676$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.53 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 6,164$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.52 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 6,148$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 5,837$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.59 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 5,802$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.88 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 36c | 5,528$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 5,327$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 69c | 5,072$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 4,265$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.83 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,910$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 9c | 3,517$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.02 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 2,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 2,988$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.82 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,756$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 2,617$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.71 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 65c | 2,414$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.69 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 2,413$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 39c | 2,008$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.12 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 30c | 1,970$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.34 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 35c | 1,952$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.6 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 1,536$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 64c | 1,363$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 53c | 1,349$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 34c | 1,284$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.96 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,205$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 33c | 1,099$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 1,065$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…f0ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,029$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…dcaabacked Yes | 63c | 1,029$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 1,024$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…5e57backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 65c | 953.19$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.61 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 63c | 945.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 924.48$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 25c | 812.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 14c | 768.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 47c | 716.09$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 61c | 599.93$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.96 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 60c | 500.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 409.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 64c | 409.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 36c | 408.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 407.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 65c | 407.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…406bbacked Yes | 10c | 399.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 43c | 387.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 22c | 350.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 13c | 332.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 6c | 316.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 64c | 311.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 59c | 308.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 51c | 304.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…49a5backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 272.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 255.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 13c | 236.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…983cbacked Yes | 53c | 226.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 66c | 224.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 46.3%111 W · 129 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 15c | 219.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 215$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 18c | 207.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…3d85backed Yes | 34c | 201.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…eb50backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 57c | 198.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 192.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 178.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?this page
- Germany leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.