TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,484 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c47,367$20,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,562.5452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes57c38,680$22,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,047.422740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes56c30,018$16,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,852.134045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No43c25,059$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,3492642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes56c21,363$11,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,869.432040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c14,407$7,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,159.251,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes57c11,000$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No42c10,951$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,351.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes56c8,875$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9812839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.673231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked No42c5,800$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No45c5,698$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes57c5,385$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes57c5,263$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.864746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes56c4,438$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.4821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No44c3,880$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No44c3,814$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No44c3,640$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c3,560$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No45c2,684$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.8631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No44c2,559$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes49c2,343$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c2,333$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.818041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes55c2,191$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9804252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.917549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c1,777$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.7948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No44c1,753$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.5438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No44c1,619$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.994365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No44c1,453$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No43c1,420$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.3529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes56c1,256$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c1,145$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.671,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No72c1,145$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.945100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes51c1,131$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.5871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes46c1,093$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes56c946.43$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No48c880$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.38066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked No42c872$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes57c841.48$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.642853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes54c820.09$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No41c799.97$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.984050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes52c799.29$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes26c774.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No48c745.84$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.98434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes57c745.64$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No44c740.56$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.716141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes56c685$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes56c603.69$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.472236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes51c579.72$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No44c577.65$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5613844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes58c553.9$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.265046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No44c503.35$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d91…c495backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c430.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No44c421.59$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4314045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c413.79$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No44c409.58$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c406$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No44c399.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No44c399.98$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.991090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+40.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes51c389.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c381$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes52c369.97$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.583743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c369.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.313246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes55c365.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes55c365.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No42c356.51$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.58444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No44c344.58$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+188.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c332.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked No44c320.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+188.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed No44c320.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+188.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes46c319$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.253847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes59c317.79$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.454723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No44c305.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.