Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2cb19e0a23d9af93cf8fe799c7166b9139257868b42cc375a1751bf3c4ddf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 20c | 37,890$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540.97 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 22c | 20,600$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.04 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 18c | 7,343$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.66 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 4,619$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.97 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 2,207$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.46 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 1,738$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 19c | 1,468$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 79c | 1,400$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 21c | 1,355$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,344$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,268$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes | 12c | 655.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 12c | 593.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 528.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 518.96$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 21c | 486.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 387.86$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 20c | 363.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 18c | 330.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 279.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 19c | 266.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 19c | 245$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 205.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 201.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…4d78backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 149.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 21c | 129.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 120.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 79c | 108.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Yes | 12c | 108.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 100.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…d681backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 63.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…c3b5backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 20c | 58.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 20c | 53.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…f882backed Yes | 20c | 50.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 80c | 47.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 80c | 32.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.