Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs Michael Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef039d0ffe9589736bc037cd508a29492ffb461723308523e3c2c639e6df7395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Zhengof Henri Squire, Michael Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Zheng | 71c | 2,796$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.99 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Henri Squire | 10c | 1,980$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Henri Squire | 17c | 1,766$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Henri Squire | 27c | 1,241$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.78 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Henri Squire | 30c | 1,098$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Henri Squire | 33c | 999.96$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Henri Squire | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 549.3$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Michael Zheng | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Henri Squire | 32c | 374.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Henri Squire | 18c | 265.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Henri Squire | 13c | 261.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Henri Squire | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Zheng | 66c | 235.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Michael Zheng | 69c | 223.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Henri Squire | 32c | 223.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Michael Zheng | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Henri Squire | 32c | 180.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Henri Squire | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Henri Squire | 27c | 155.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Henri Squire | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Michael Zheng | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…589fbacked Michael Zheng | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Michael Zheng | 78c | 137.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Henri Squire | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Henri Squire | 32c | 121.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Henri Squire | 30c | 106.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Michael Zheng | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Henri Squire | 14c | 97.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Michael Zheng | 66c | 85.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Henri Squire | 34c | 81.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Henri Squire | 19c | 71.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Henri Squire | 32c | 67.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Henri Squire | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Michael Zheng | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Henri Squire | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 52.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Michael Zheng | 66c | 43.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Henri Squire | 33c | 37.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Henri Squire | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Michael Zheng | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…ada0backed Michael Zheng | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Michael Zheng | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…5dd9backed Michael Zheng | 71c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Michael Zheng | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs Michael Zhengthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Squire vs ZhengZheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.