Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Harold Mayot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8d3681dc13aaeeb665732548e3c1a7998d3484ff1b7b9d68f35e0eb6a7a297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harold Mayotof Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, Harold Mayot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harold Mayot | 73c | 1,014$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 33c | 999.92$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 36c | 599.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 32c | 378.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 23c | 322.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 14c | 310.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Harold Mayot | 68c | 287.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 32c | 241$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 33c | 233.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 5c | 221.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 213.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Harold Mayot | 68c | 201.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 32c | 175.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Harold Mayot | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Harold Mayot | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…589fbacked Harold Mayot | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Harold Mayot | 70c | 140.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Harold Mayot | 75c | 131.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 29c | 89.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Harold Mayot | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Harold Mayot | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Harold Mayot | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Harold Mayot | 67c | 70.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Harold Mayot | 68c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Harold Mayot | 70c | 34.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Harold Mayot | 63c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Harold Mayot | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Harold Mayot | 64c | 28.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Harold Mayot | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Harold Mayot | 68c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Harold Mayot | 68c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Harold Mayot | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.