Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Marko Topo vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f95d1f2669aa20ee4e8344682e4ce44314bc6ad602f3d7ab5fc169706bb94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Marko Topo, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marko Topo | 55c | 1,893$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.98 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich | 40c | 1,448$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martin Krumich | 61c | 1,074$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Martin Krumich | 40c | 1,062$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.47 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martin Krumich | 56c | 623.02$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marko Topo | 44c | 599.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Martin Krumich | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Martin Krumich | 48c | 430.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Martin Krumich | 55c | 407.11$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marko Topo | 46c | 379.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marko Topo | 44c | 350.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Marko Topo | 60c | 307$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marko Topo | 51c | 262.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Marko Topo | 56c | 220.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marko Topo | 55c | 209.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Martin Krumich | 44c | 203.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…589fbacked Martin Krumich | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marko Topo | 58c | 167.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Marko Topo | 44c | 148.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Marko Topo | 43c | 140.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Martin Krumich | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Martin Krumich | 51c | 101.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marko Topo | 58c | 100.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Marko Topo | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Marko Topo | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Marko Topo | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marko Topo | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marko Topo | 42c | 67.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 65.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Marko Topo | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…255fbacked Martin Krumich | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Marko Topo | 45c | 46.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marko Topo | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Martin Krumich | 79c | 40.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Marko Topo | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Martin Krumich | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9664backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marko Topo | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 34.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Marko Topo | 43c | 34.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Martin Krumich | 43c | 34.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Marko Topo | 45c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Marko Topo | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Martin Krumich | 73c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 21.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martin Krumich | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martin Krumich | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Marko Topo | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.