TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33e5…1c91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
313
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT23851.7%123 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 238 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Diane Parry vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liubacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$59.77
Wimbledon ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs James Duckworthbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.01
Wimbledon WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Wimbledon WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomerybacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$215.85
Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Wimbledon WTA: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$120.47
Wimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tausonbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$83.68
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Showing 25 of 238 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.64
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50.57
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$213.09
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+364.7%+$460.74
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$59.89
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+46.2%+$252.08
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.57
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$44.95
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.1%+$21.05
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30.98
Will José Antonio Kast come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70.46
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$254.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+208.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,680.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+3,680.2%+$1,186.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.