NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe210052575420133d6b2fd2a160803e58fbf0b861bd7a22d0951ef25d0c2eac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,391,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,535,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,391,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 843 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c78…8cbcbacked No | 1c | 54,771$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 57c | 50,194$28,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,340.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 31c | 27,601$8,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,937.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…b20bbacked No | 3c | 21,614$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked Yes | 35c | 18,919$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,282.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 62c | 18,747$11,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,132.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…e056backed No | 2c | 17,648$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed No | 4c | 16,750$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…e9b4backed No | 0c | 16,314$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 6c | 15,905$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 64c | 15,566$10,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed No | 4c | 13,514$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed No | 37c | 13,249$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 43c | 12,294$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,957.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…a3aebacked No | 19c | 9,898$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 40c | 9,382$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 51c | 9,182$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 43c | 8,920$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 74c | 8,756$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.71 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…fe70backed No | 1c | 8,598$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b34cbacked No | 1c | 8,369$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 41c | 8,357$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 38c | 8,044$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 0c | 7,988$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 2c | 7,825$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 64c | 7,369$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 11c | 6,533$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.77 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 36c | 6,040$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.73 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 30c | 5,992$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 38c | 5,562$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 78c | 5,445$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.49 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 60c | 5,325$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…fb86backed No | 16c | 5,308$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Yes | 55c | 5,119$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked Yes | 59c | 5,010$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed No | 49c | 4,922$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.48 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed No | 1c | 4,915$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 60c | 4,907$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…7948backed No | 3c | 4,788$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…ddcdbacked No | 15c | 4,317$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes | 48c | 4,308$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes | 56c | 4,131$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Yes | 65c | 4,081$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 51c | 4,026$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 49c | 3,956$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 46c | 3,927$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 62c | 3,867$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…5ddfbacked Yes | 36c | 3,775$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,724$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Yes | 44c | 3,396$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 59c | 3,379$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Yes | 46c | 3,320$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 44c | 3,271$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.59 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…55c7backed No | 1c | 3,248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4e45backed Yes | 56c | 3,199$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed No | 4c | 3,166$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 60c | 3,144$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 53c | 2,907$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…3cefbacked Yes | 61c | 2,855$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 54c | 2,834$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked Yes | 75c | 2,831$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 2,825$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.49 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed No | 2c | 2,800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed No | 38c | 2,791$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e05…ae77backed No | 1c | 2,745$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,740$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,707$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 50c | 2,706$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 33c | 2,704$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8064…e50cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,691$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,608$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 48c | 2,532$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…accabacked No | 1c | 2,493$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 67c | 2,470$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 59c | 2,421$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 3c | 2,402$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 2,352$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.86 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d1dabacked Yes | 62c | 2,350$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 38c | 2,302$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed Yes | 34c | 2,251$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed Yes | 44c | 2,163$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 25c | 2,121$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…8b83backed Yes | 38c | 2,118$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…2d9abacked Yes | 51c | 2,065$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 70c | 2,029$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 44c | 2,021$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed No | 38c | 1,976$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,976$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes | 40c | 1,955$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…9dd3backed Yes | 42c | 1,953$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed No | 13c | 1,890$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…ed9dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,861$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 22c | 1,850$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0639…312fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,835$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…0343backed Yes | 60c | 1,813$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed No | 3c | 1,811$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 45c | 1,806$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 32c | 1,784$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 72c | 1,770$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?this page
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.