NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2f0853d11bf809a5c5dafd713f4d7aa93ec2e3020e8c8d60350f897b0f1984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 48,683$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 1c | 20,550$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,887$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 2c | 16,556$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…e9b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,489$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,063$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,572$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,514$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…5134backed Yes | 1c | 3,342$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0639…312fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,069$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…5b11backed Yes | 0c | 2,915$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,914$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 2,907$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,880$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Yes | 4c | 2,842$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,742$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 12c | 2,612$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,541$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…7f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 2c | 2,348$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…b8f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,317$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 2c | 2,125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…3c6ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,030$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,861$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,772$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed Yes | 4c | 1,323$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4e45backed Yes | 2c | 1,245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 2c | 1,170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,090$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7034backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…d051backed Yes | 3c | 999.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 30c | 988.56$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 751.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…a3c5backed Yes | 4c | 676.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…d2bdbacked Yes | 3c | 636.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…fc66backed Yes | 4c | 631.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…a1ccbacked Yes | 3c | 609.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed Yes | 7c | 564.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…1c5ebacked Yes | 4c | 519.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7340backed Yes | 5c | 500.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…f443backed Yes | 4c | 452.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 4c | 436.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yes | 25c | 407.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8028backed Yes | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 399.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Yes | 3c | 374.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed Yes | 4c | 343.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…0215backed Yes | 4c | 340.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…b71abacked No | 56c | 301.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…4914backed Yes | 26c | 272.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 8c | 260.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…5dc6backed Yes | 11c | 251.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 9c | 244.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…9567backed Yes | 19c | 236.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 28c | 207.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 45c | 199.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 43c | 188.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 34c | 164.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…6085backed Yes | 26c | 160.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…160cbacked Yes | 33c | 152.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…19c8backed Yes | 13c | 150.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 60c | 148.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…246dbacked Yes | 21c | 144.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…2387backed Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 16c | 128.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…caa7backed Yes | 8c | 127.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed No | 78c | 110.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 107.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 77c | 103.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 98.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…c88fbacked Yes | 21c | 76.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 64.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…71acbacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 32c | 54.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…ce3cbacked Yes | 22c | 53.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b846backed Yes | 23c | 50.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…23afbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 52c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…5928backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0567…82d1backed Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…d296backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?this page
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.