NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95dfcdf72d98c59381df5b2d015e67aa7b7caf59258881c549d79400490a579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,261,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $953,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 822 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 3c | 77,121$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 26c | 51,095$13,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,180.88 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…14f6backed Yes | 2c | 26,386$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…b20bbacked Yes | 4c | 22,391$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed Yes | 4c | 17,400$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 27c | 16,624$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 18c | 16,519$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 27c | 15,318$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…e9b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…dd1bbacked Yes | 32c | 14,991$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…233abacked Yes | 23c | 14,712$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes | 3c | 13,768$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes | 21c | 11,237$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 28c | 10,610$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…748bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,436$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…bf10backed Yes | 4c | 10,043$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…a3aebacked Yes | 23c | 9,363$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…bf20backed Yes | 5c | 8,925$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 8,835$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b34cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,090$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…c169backed Yes | 2c | 8,073$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…391bbacked Yes | 19c | 7,882$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…1005backed Yes | 2c | 7,740$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…fc96backed Yes | 10c | 7,672$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 5c | 7,390$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 4c | 7,344$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed Yes | 11c | 6,938$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e797backed Yes | 1c | 6,892$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 43c | 6,725$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 7c | 6,715$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 44c | 6,629$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…3d7bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,478$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…8619backed Yes | 29c | 6,409$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,020$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…1cc2backed Yes | 1c | 5,354$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,342$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…e056backed Yes | 2c | 5,199$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 69c | 5,091$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.73 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,043$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 39c | 4,907$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…7071backed Yes | 1c | 4,829$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 20c | 4,794$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…8f97backed Yes | 1c | 4,723$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Yes | 69c | 4,708$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,659$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 7c | 4,533$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 62c | 4,413$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…c4bdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,408$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,323$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…ad5bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,278$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 61c | 4,010$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4e45backed Yes | 40c | 3,877$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,859$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccd…f416backed Yes | 1c | 3,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 3,753$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…45c4backed Yes | 0c | 3,634$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 26c | 3,620$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e05…ae77backed Yes | 2c | 3,539$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…deb1backed Yes | 7c | 3,448$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 3,430$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…ed9dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,406$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…8b83backed Yes | 59c | 3,330$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…72f8backed Yes | 40c | 3,330$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,282$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 32c | 3,255$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…edabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,159$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…282fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,152$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked Yes | 42c | 3,130$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 11c | 3,100$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 30c | 3,073$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…9135backed Yes | 1c | 3,072$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…19c8backed Yes | 48c | 2,997$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…92b8backed Yes | 20c | 2,979$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd5…0ed7backed Yes | 3c | 2,935$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 70c | 2,928$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…e949backed Yes | 2c | 2,810$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 2,800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 25c | 2,794$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…6646backed Yes | 31c | 2,790$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Yes | 2c | 2,788$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…b947backed Yes | 1c | 2,759$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,723$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.38 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…4bbebacked Yes | 60c | 2,683$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 13c | 2,610$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 49c | 2,591$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19d…334dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,540$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…f4e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 33c | 2,471$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.52 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…accabacked Yes | 2c | 2,403$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 2,368$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.46 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…9a07backed Yes | 38c | 2,351$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…b7cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…71a0backed No | 41c | 2,204$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,184$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…1514backed Yes | 12c | 2,164$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 60c | 2,110$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…c98abacked Yes | 1c | 1,998$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 23c | 1,970$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?this page
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?No won
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.