TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2375…dd3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Earnings, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,908.82
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$210.15
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,723Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56%+$2,646.85
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+30.8%+$138.31
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$57.23
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.2%+$84.44
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.1%+$23.03
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+106.8%+$71.22
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.9%+$424.77
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$18.23
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.6%+$26.69
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.2%+$41.29
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.01
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+110.4%+$35.37
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$122.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.71
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$38.46
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.94
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$133.83
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25.2%+$169.08
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.5%+$947.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.