Movies · resolved market
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a2f48e3e910df2f77041713db194e6d5fe1015fe73e81ee30022865189aa5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23a8…0586backed No | 60c | 5,320$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 42c | 1,316$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 24c | 888.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…e81cbacked No | 77c | 764.25$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 59c | 669.44$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.34 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…2c40backed No | 76c | 562.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…68a7backed Yes | 10c | 535.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…66aabacked No | 51c | 524.94$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 53c | 479.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6c98backed Yes | 35c | 475$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…d306backed Yes | 11c | 448.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Yes | 46c | 442.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…30e4backed Yes | 47c | 425.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 15c | 407.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…5c11backed No | 72c | 397.89$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 25c | 393.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 49c | 317.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 41c | 314$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…af60backed Yes | 39c | 304.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…14babacked Yes | 14c | 298$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Yes | 38c | 294.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed No | 70c | 286.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…f978backed Yes | 35c | 282.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…3210backed No | 42c | 279.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…60acbacked Yes | 39c | 263.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…b8d7backed Yes | 27c | 260.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 40c | 256.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 24c | 255.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237d…7e72backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…80e5backed Yes | 33c | 232.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8568backed No | 62c | 209.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 201.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 185.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Yes | 34c | 177$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…619fbacked Yes | 32c | 176.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 36c | 176.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 174.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 58c | 174.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 36c | 173.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 13c | 172.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…d8dfbacked No | 55c | 171$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 37c | 163.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 162.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 59c | 159.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 40c | 156.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…d528backed Yes | 49c | 153.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 62c | 143.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +124%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…6049backed Yes | 16c | 132.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…e4a1backed Yes | 38c | 131.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 130.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked No | 60c | 124.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…a232backed Yes | 28c | 124.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8e…b63abacked No | 47c | 118.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…b675backed Yes | 43c | 117.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…d27abacked Yes | 35c | 114.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked Yes | 39c | 114.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…c5e6backed Yes | 32c | 109.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…27d5backed Yes | 28c | 105.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…1a24backed Yes | 17c | 104.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…685bbacked Yes | 33c | 103.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 103.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…2cf1backed Yes | 10c | 102.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 75c | 100.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…26c7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9a13backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…31f7backed Yes | 30c | 99.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…0190backed Yes | 36c | 96.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 91.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 35c | 90.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…5f2ebacked Yes | 34c | 88.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 87.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…48b7backed Yes | 36c | 85.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…b3f0backed No | 59c | 85.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 69c | 84.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 19c | 83.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 50c | 82.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 70c | 81.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 81.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…a9dfbacked Yes | 31c | 77.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bffabacked No | 75c | 74.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 50c | 74.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…10e3backed Yes | 40c | 74.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…916abacked Yes | 34c | 72.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…8457backed Yes | 43c | 72.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…5e0dbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…131ebacked No | 65c | 69.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.