Movies · resolved market
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0796d00a8eaa3eb496b9229f8f7b06bb135d2ba88e07cc868590fa276bb6639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed No | 35c | 10,938$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed Yes | 60c | 4,885$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 24c | 4,366$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.16 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…5bd9backed No | 6c | 3,832$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 29c | 3,107$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.25 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 72c | 2,380$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.94 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec4…271bbacked No | 7c | 1,805$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 78c | 1,663$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,417$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,222$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked No | 49c | 1,192$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…69b6backed No | 42c | 1,041$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked No | 42c | 1,021$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked No | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…4381backed Yes | 63c | 927.98$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…9cb5backed Yes | 61c | 853.4$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…ad3dbacked No | 3c | 840.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 14c | 840$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 36c | 833.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 14c | 818$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 5c | 800.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…3210backed Yes | 44c | 799.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9967…09cabacked Yes | 61c | 756.22$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…19b7backed No | 53c | 756.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 17c | 674.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 49c | 655$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 51c | 655$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…7b06backed No | 14c | 616.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…90e6backed Yes | 61c | 614.78$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 79c | 604.66$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Yes | 62c | 577.9$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…5c11backed Yes | 59c | 577.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked Yes | 57c | 561.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 46c | 557.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…1cf8backed No | 21c | 534.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 26c | 533$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked No | 41c | 525.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…0131backed No | 31c | 525.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 26c | 520$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 19c | 498.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…2ddfbacked No | 16c | 498.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…1232backed Yes | 67c | 493.36$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…63b2backed No | 46c | 479.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed No | 11c | 469.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 29c | 448.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…13aabacked No | 35c | 430.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked No | 46c | 430.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…48b7backed No | 18c | 428.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…b8d7backed Yes | 70c | 426.32$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Yes | 70c | 426.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bf03backed No | 47c | 422.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 416.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 14c | 415.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 400.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 266 | 6.4%17 W · 249 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 37c | 399.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…27d5backed No | 30c | 397.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…0c73backed Yes | 58c | 365.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…3736backed No | 27c | 364.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…152abacked No | 47c | 359.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 25c | 356.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…acbabacked No | 14c | 354.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…e653backed No | 44c | 350$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 347.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 8c | 347.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…3b3fbacked No | 26c | 346.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed Yes | 60c | 346.06$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…1b95backed No | 29c | 342.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…7c57backed No | 19c | 342.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…9034backed No | 6c | 337.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…cee0backed No | 20c | 336.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 68c | 330.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…2102backed No | 42c | 324.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…04cfbacked No | 30c | 321.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b2fbacked Yes | 65c | 297.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…20e6backed No | 42c | 296.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7c…d0a9backed No | 34c | 295.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 76c | 295.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 71c | 282.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 13c | 279.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…3221backed Yes | 79c | 279$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 71c | 278.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 8c | 278$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed No | 40c | 270.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes | 75c | 267.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 42c | 249.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…669ebacked No | 31c | 248.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…693abacked No | 48c | 247.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…9e87backed No | 44c | 244.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1def…2e16backed Yes | 58c | 243.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…419bbacked Yes | 73c | 243.01$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 239.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 23c | 239.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…5f2ebacked No | 6c | 235.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…b7c3backed No | 44c | 226.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…7058backed No | 18c | 225.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…164ebacked No | 28c | 217.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.