Movies · resolved market
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74326b8b41bd86906a9af35fd5ee776649a928ae9e78adff88449904242a11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed No | 77c | 4,633$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed No | 61c | 3,336$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.07 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 80c | 2,758$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,384$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.55 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 75c | 2,047$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 1,354$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.86 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,178$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,026$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,010$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 269 | 6.3%17 W · 252 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…14babacked Yes | 21c | 1,002$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…5bbebacked Yes | 26c | 824.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 766.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 25c | 745$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 79c | 724$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…53c6backed Yes | 20c | 696.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 13c | 672$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…d78bbacked No | 80c | 658$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 37c | 656.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 25c | 653$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 25c | 649$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…20e6backed Yes | 15c | 646.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked No | 80c | 611$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…3cc7backed Yes | 26c | 603.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 598.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…6b0cbacked Yes | 16c | 587.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 73c | 584.57$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 20c | 563$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…1232backed Yes | 27c | 550.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 13c | 540.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 73c | 529.99$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 31c | 524.16$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Yes | 26c | 514.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 55c | 471.12$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 458.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 71c | 458$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…3b3fbacked Yes | 31c | 450.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 447.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 56c | 422.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked No | 80c | 407$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…38bfbacked Yes | 27c | 399.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 20c | 390$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 30c | 368.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 20c | 334$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 15c | 324.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 14c | 322.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 21c | 314$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 66c | 311.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Yes | 21c | 303$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…68a7backed Yes | 14c | 285.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 20c | 284$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 29c | 283$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Yes | 36c | 279.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…ad74backed Yes | 22c | 270.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 30c | 243.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…ca1fbacked Yes | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…48d0backed Yes | 40c | 228.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 22c | 227.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed Yes | 46c | 225.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…3089backed No | 58c | 223.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked Yes | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…1570backed Yes | 5c | 210.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 37c | 210.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 79c | 206$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 69c | 195.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 19c | 192.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…6352backed Yes | 19c | 185.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…0190backed Yes | 22c | 181.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…a936backed Yes | 43c | 178.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 29c | 178$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 29c | 174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 22c | 172$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 74c | 171$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 13c | 167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…d9abbacked Yes | 40c | 162.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…8604backed No | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7647backed Yes | 19c | 161$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 19c | 159.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…7baabacked Yes | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 18c | 151.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…31c7backed Yes | 36c | 150.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…0e4cbacked Yes | 17c | 144.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 33c | 141.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked No | 71c | 140.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed No | 68c | 139.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 27c | 138.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…015abacked Yes | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 130.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked Yes | 41c | 120.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 71c | 120.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Yes | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…867abacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.