TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb2e…7c01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.99
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.66
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.36
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$780.69
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.02
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.91
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.64
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$221.99
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+62.5%+$356.46
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$152.88
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$425.48
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$150.84
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$247.02
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$106.92
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$253.08
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136.95
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$123.04
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$142.08
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$166.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$282.21
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+549.4%+$302.02
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+473.8%+$72.66
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$182.28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.25
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$160.92
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.96
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$310.97
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$506.88
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+169.4%+$574.67
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.52
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.42
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$180.01
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$103.36
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$157.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$155.1
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$145.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.65
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.64
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$301.95
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$86.11
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$201.67
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$678
Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.01
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.69
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$454.3
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$211.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$112.14
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$649.11
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$750.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$678.96
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$133.12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+171.6%+$138.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-77.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+91.6%+$449.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$205.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$36.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$88.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$420.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$211.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.