Movies · resolved market
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0210f2c14a5ce73a38a0ddb12b7cea01c2d6cc3ec3fdf1b2561dfe290649c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,059$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed No | 59c | 926$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 34c | 917.42$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.71 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 32c | 900$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 42c | 884.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 15c | 783.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.46 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 43c | 740.16$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 34c | 733.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 23c | 718$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 61c | 690$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 55c | 645.49$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 59c | 643$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.37 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 34c | 634$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 57c | 627$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 64c | 611$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 67c | 559$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.53 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 57c | 556$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 43c | 549$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 511.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 36c | 507$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 32c | 496.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.07 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 33c | 472$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 42c | 428$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 57c | 412.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 42c | 380$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 42c | 362$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 34c | 331.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 67c | 322.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 23c | 314$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 71c | 309.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 33c | 302.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 67c | 296.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 21c | 295$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 79c | 295$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 77c | 290$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…350cbacked No | 71c | 282.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 71c | 280.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 42c | 257$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 58c | 251.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 42c | 251$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 246.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 232.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…17e7backed No | 19c | 221.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 35c | 219.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 57c | 217$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 31c | 215$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed No | 77c | 212$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 77c | 205$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 66c | 204$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 60c | 201.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…44dfbacked Yes | 50c | 194.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 26c | 172$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 74c | 172$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed No | 78c | 167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 162$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 159.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…580cbacked Yes | 33c | 152.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…1a94backed Yes | 35c | 139.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 57c | 137$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…d7d9backed Yes | 40c | 125.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 29c | 106$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed No | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 65c | 105$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 67c | 98.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 32c | 93.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…8189backed Yes | 75c | 87.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 59c | 84.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 68c | 81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 59c | 74.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 33c | 72.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…2c7cbacked Yes | 39c | 63.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…eefabacked Yes | 29c | 60.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 53.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed Yes | 36c | 50.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…c08bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 49.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 59c | 45.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.